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2024-12-14 11:59:25

Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Seiko Technology: It has cooperated with a number of aerospace (low-altitude) enterprises. Seiko Technology (002006) recently said in an institutional survey that the company has cooperated with aerospace (low-altitude) enterprises such as Yiweite, Jieyi Technology and Shenzhen Collaborative Innovation to expand the application of new carbon fiber composite materials and vigorously develop low-altitude economic industries. In the future, the company will continue to deepen, consolidate and iterate the advantages of independent innovation and intelligent manufacturing of carbon fiber equipment in the whole industrial chain, enter the production of carbon fiber composite products as soon as possible by improving the company's precision processing ability and cooperating with enterprises with mature technologies, and vigorously develop the aerospace economic industry, compete for new tracks and build new engines through the brand-new development model of "equipment leading, material collaboration and application support".


The dual platform of transaction detection has landed in Henan to cultivate the diamond industry to a higher level. Recently, the Zhengzhou International Trading Center for Cultivating Diamonds (to be established) and the Henan Laboratory of Jewelry National Inspection Group, which are jointly established by China Jewelry and Jade Jewelry Industry Association and Jewelry National Inspection Group, were officially unveiled in Zhengzhou Airport Area, marking a key step in cultivating the industrial layout of diamonds in Henan Province, which is of great significance for promoting regional economic development and industrial upgrading. "With unified and authoritative product standards, the market can establish a sound pricing mechanism and further promote the extension of the industrial chain." During the interview, people in the industry told the reporter of Company E that this time, the Jewelry National Inspection Group landed in Henan, which will further provide inspection services close to the place of origin, reduce the cost of cultivating diamonds and establish professional evaluation standards. At the same time, the trading center will also set up a platform to cultivate the diamond price trading index, standardize the market pricing system, and stabilize prices and market supply and demand. In the future, Zhengzhou Airport Port Area will also rely on the trading center to build and cultivate the downstream industrial chain layout of diamond processing, design and inlay in the area, and base on the advantages of the airport to maximize the value of the industrial chain.Trump: The money saved by automation is far less than the pain, injury and loss it has caused to American workers.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe that the Gaza agreement may be reached soon. US National Security Adviser Sullivan said on Thursday that he believes that an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza may be reached soon, because Israel has indicated that it is ready and Hamas has shown signs of action.


The leading enterprises in the quantum science and technology sector are competing for layout. Recently, the quantum science and technology sector has been active. Since September 24, the concept index of the straight flush quantum science and technology has risen by more than 60%, and the stock prices of many stocks have doubled. Among A-share listed companies, many companies including China Mobile, China Telecom, Guo Dun Quantum, Hexin Instrument, Guoxin Technology and Geer Software have already laid out in the field of quantum technology. In terms of future market potential, ICVTA&K, a scientific and technological consulting organization, predicts that in 2023, the overall market size of the global quantum industry may reach 7.24 billion US dollars. However, the current quantum technology industry is still in the stage of research and development and industrial exploration. Taking quantum computing as an example, Guo Dun Quantum said in a survey conducted by an organization on November 15th that quantum computers have only achieved quantum superiority in some specific problems at present, and it is estimated that it will take about 5 to 10 years to surpass classical computing power in practical and valuable problems in the future. (Economic Information Daily)Broadcom said that the company focuses on the application of cash to repay debts.Hong Kong Monetary Authority: In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. On December 13, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced the main analytical accounts of the Exchange Fund at the end of November 2024. In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. The monetary base is HK$ 1,950.1 billion, including certificates of indebtedness, notes and coins in circulation issued by the government, balances in the banking system and issued Exchange Fund bills and bonds. Claims on the private sector in Hong Kong amounted to HK$ 287.8 billion. Total external liabilities amounted to HK$ 28 billion.

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